Green revolution: Indian agricultural experience – a paradigm for Eritrea

Food problem became more severe after the partition of India and Pakistan in 1947, presenting a series challenges to India’s agricultural sector. Even during good harvest years, food imports remain high. A large segment of people were poor. To mitigate these problems, India adopted farming strategies under the “Green Revolution” in the mid 1960s. The application of modern farming technology, introduction of high-yielding varieties of seeds, increased use of fertilizers, development and expansion of irrigation systems, extension of credit and educational services to farmers. These activities resulted in a drastic increase of farm products leading India to achieve self-sufficiency in food within a short period of time. The “Green Revolution” has contributed to Indian agriculture tremendously and transformed India from a starving nation to a food exporter. The activities that comprise the “Green Revolution” are worth emulating in the Eritrean environment. This paper explores the impact of the “Green Revolution” on Indian agricultural production with the aim of drawing lessons for Eritrea to modernize its agriculture and subsequently solve its food insecurity problem. The Indian experience serves as a model for Eritrea to achieve self-sufficiency in food.Green Revolution, Agriculture and Technology, India, Eritrea, Food Security

Prospects of Indonesian Rice Self-sufficiency As a Food Security Effort Using a Dynamic System Model

Problems at the level of rice production faced include reduced agricultural land due to land conversion, damage to irrigation networks, pests and diseases in production and not yet maximizing productivity because the use of seeds and fertilizers has not been optimal. Meanwhile, at the consumer level, the need for rice continues to increase, both to meet industrial needs, to meet household (RT) and non-RT needs. The purpose of this research is to simulate a scenario of achieving self-sufficiency in rice in the dynamic system model, to find out the key factors that determine the achievement of self-sufficiency in rice in Indonesia and to develop policy recommendations needed to achieve self-sufficiency in rice towards food security. The research method used is a system dynamic approach using secondary data to build a simulation model. The simulation results show that the paddy field printing program contributes the most to increasing rice self-sufficiency. Furthermore, the intensification and reduction of rice consumption, but these two policies did not have a major impact on self-sufficiency in rice, in contrast to the results of achieving self-sufficiency in the extensification program. But unfortunately, creating paddy fields, intensification in the form of using certified seeds and decreasing consumption are the biggest obstacles currently facing agricultural development

POLICY REFORM AND PRODUCTIVITY CHANGE IN CHINESE AGRICULTURE: A DISTANCE FUNCTION APPROACH

Agricultural policy reform has been an important source of change in the Chinese agricultural sector. The reforms led to productivity growth and helped China in pursuing its self- sufficiency goal especially in the grain sector. To analyse whether observable productivity growth stems from technologically induced components, or from the market induced parts, a multi-input-multi-output model is derived using an econometric distance function framework. A decomposition allows to distinguish allocative effects, scale effects, technological change, and technical efficiency change. Data on farms in Zhejiang from 1986 to 1999 are used to analyse the impact of policy reform.Agricultural and Food Policy,

Indonesian agricultural trade policy at the crossroads

Following the global spike in food prices in 2008, there is renewed interest in Indonesia in self-sufficiency as a means of achieving food security. Restrictive trade policies, including specific tariffs on rice and sugar, and quantitative restrictions on imports and exports, have been used in an attempt to meet conflicting objectives of assisting both producers and consumers. Meanwhile, palm oil exports to the European Union are constrained by the importer's concerns about deforestation and its contribution to climate change. Similar constraints may be applied to other commodities as production moves into pristine areas in an attempt to maintain self-sufficiency. On the other hand, more open trade may offer better options to address any agricultural-related costs associated with climate change. A computable general equilibrium model is used to analyze the efficiency and distributional impacts of these agricultural trade policies. The results suggest that removing or reducing tariffs on rice and sugar would increase imports substantially in relative terms but have only a small impact on domestic prices and production. A ban on palm oil exports to the European Union would have a significant impact, although offset somewhat by increased exports elsewhere. In each case the major effects are distributional, involving transfers between producers and consumers. Multiple instruments are necessary to achieve conflicting objectives. For example, social safety nets rather than trade bans should be used to support poor consumers. Support for the agricultural sector should focus on the provision of rural infrastructure, research and development, and the encouragement of private sector investment.agriculture, trade, Indonesia, International Relations/Trade, F13, Q17.,

Price Volatility Analysis in Indonesian Beef Market

The Indonesian beef price movement increasing erratically and tends to be volatile in recent years. Based on the price monitoring in several production centers, there are beef price fluctuations in the consumer level across time and between provinces. This study tries to present the relationship between the beef price volatility and Indonesia’s efforts to ensure food security through self-sufficiency in beef. We consider a series of consumer daily beef price from January 2006 to December 2013, with total T=2086 observations to understand beef price volatility in Indonesia, and to analyze the impact of beef self-sufficiency program to the beef price volatility in Indonesia. Data was obtained from Ministry of Trade, Government of Indonesia and it was collected through market survey from three different markets in 33 capital provinces in Indonesia. The methodology follows GARCH model to measure the beef price volatility. The GARCH (1.1) model gives information that beef price movements are influenced by the volatility from the previous period and yesterday’s variance. The volatility of beef price was driven more by its own variance rather than external shocks.  GARCH (1.1) model shows that the beef price volatility will tend to be smaller and persistence in the future. Parameter of the third dummy variable in the variance equation to capture the change policy is statistically significant. It indicates that the beef self-sufficiency program may lower the beef price volatility. Keywords: beef price, garch model, price volatility, self sufficienc

ANALISIS KEBIJAKAN SWASEMBADA GULA DI INDONESIA

Sugar is an essential commodity for the people of Indonesia and even for the world community. The benefits of sugar as a source of calories for people other than rice, corn and tubers make sugar as one of the staple food. have increased at a rate of 1.2%, respectively, and 7.8%. Domestic sugar demand continues to increase during the period 2005-2013. In general, sugar production pattern has the same tendency to demand the production of sugar, but the amount of sugar is still below the demand for sugar. This study discusses self-sufficiency in Indonesia, by analyzing the factors that influence self-sufficiency in Indonesia, the policy provisions for the success of self-sufficiency in sugar imports in Indonesia, and strategies to achieve self-sufficiency in Indonesia The scope of this study includes data processing sugar national (macro ) beginning in 2002-2012. This study uses a simultaneous equation model estimated Ordinary Least Squares (OLS) with the computer program Microsoft Excel 2007 and Statistical Analysis Software / Econometric Time Series (SAS / ETS) version 9.1. The factors that greatly affect the achievement of self-sufficiency in Indonesia is the yield of sugar, sugarcane acreage, the production of sugarcane, the price of the national fertilizer, rainfall, pol sugar cane, sugar production, sugar import and export of sugar, whereas no effect is the price of sugar national, sugarcane acreage, GDP per capita and population. If there is an increase sugar imports by 50 percent in Indonesia, it will lower sugar production in Indonesia by 5:10 percent, increase sugar prices nationally by 20.1 percent, increase in sugar consumption in Indonesia of 0.35 percent. The increase in sugar imports in Indonesia also have an impact on the decline in sugarcane production in Indonesia at 3:19 percent and domestic sugar yield decreased by 200.39 percent. Sugar production in Indonesia is influenced by several indicators that include domestic sugar yield, to improve rendeman, then that can be done is improved varieties, optimization of time of planting, balanced fertilizer, pest control, and harvesting and transport system improvements and revitalization of the sugar mills focus on increasing the installed capacity and yield at least 10 percent, where sugar production should be sufficient for the country and having a lot of sugar in bulk, so the opportunity to export sugar too large and could reduce imports of sugar. Keywords: Sugar, Sugar Policy, Self-Sufficiency Sugar, Simultaneous Equatio

The Impact of Work Supports: The Self-Sufficiency Standard for Illinois 2009

This document models the impact that work supports have on family income and expenses in two different ways. Both model a family with one parent and two children (a preschooler and a schoolage child) on the south side of Chicago (Cook County) Illinois. The document begins with a description of the work supports and child supports that are modeled, followed by an explanation of how and why the taxes and tax credits are treated differently in this document than in the Self-Sufficiency Standard itself. The first modeling section of this document shows the impact of work supports on monthly costs. The second modeling section in this document shows the impact of work supports on wage adequacy

The Self-Sufficiency Standard for Illinois

An introduction to the Self-Sufficiency standard and how it differs from the federal poverty measure

Growth in densely populated Asia: implications for primary product exporters

Economic growth and integration in Asia is rapidly increasing the global economic importance of the region. To the extent that this growth continues and is strongest in natural resource-poor Asian economies, it will add to global demand for imports of primary products, to the benefit of (especially nearby) resource-abundant countries. How will global production, consumption and trade patterns change by 2030 in the course of such economic developments and structural changes? We address this question using the GTAP model and Version 8.1 of the 2007 GTAP database, together with supplementary data from a range of sources, to support projections of the global economy from 2007 to 2030 under various scenarios. Factor endowments and real gross domestic product are assumed to grow at exogenous rates, and trade-related policies are kept unchanged to generate a core baseline, which is compared with an alternative slower growth scenario. We also consider the impact of several policy changes aimed at increasing China's agricultural self-sufficiency relative to the 2030 baseline. Policy implications for countries of the Asia-Pacific region are drawn out in the final section

Green revolution: Indian agricultural experience – a paradigm for Eritrea

Food problem became more severe after the partition of India and Pakistan in 1947, presenting a series challenges to India’s agricultural sector. Even during good harvest years, food imports remain high. A large segment of people were poor. To mitigate these problems, India adopted farming strategies under the “Green Revolution” in the mid 1960s. The application of modern farming technology, introduction of high-yielding varieties of seeds, increased use of fertilizers, development and expansion of irrigation systems, extension of credit and educational services to farmers. These activities resulted in a drastic increase of farm products leading India to achieve self-sufficiency in food within a short period of time. The “Green Revolution” has contributed to Indian agriculture tremendously and transformed India from a starving nation to a food exporter. The activities that comprise the “Green Revolution” are worth emulating in the Eritrean environment. This paper explores the impact of the “Green Revolution” on Indian agricultural production with the aim of drawing lessons for Eritrea to modernize its agriculture and subsequently solve its food insecurity problem. The Indian experience serves as a model for Eritrea to achieve self-sufficiency in food